Monday, September 14, 2015

New ABC/Post Poll Trump Over 30% for 9th Straight Poll

The latest ABC/Washington Post poll which has Donald Trump at 33%. This is in the margin of error of the last nine major poll which range from 30% to 37% . 




There are always variations at the high and low end of polls which is why the aggregate figure is the important as is of course the trend .



The aggregate is 33.8%, a 15 point lead and well above for instance Bill Kristols' prediction that "Trump has peaked at 30%."

The red trend line is obvious that even the most recalcitrant of Trump haters like Doug Mataconis has today thrown in the towel and admitted "Trump is the undisputed leader."

Notable to is the continuous-disastrous decline for Carly Fiorina who had a brief "publicity bump" following the first debate when one poll had her at 8%. Despite all the best/worst efforts of Fox-Megyn Kelly/Politico and Real Clear Politics her decline continues unabated. 

That she is being used as the "anti-Trump is so blatant that it has clearly caused a backlash.

Real Clear Politics uses their own choice of polls for their aggregate and even with that selected list of pollsters Trump has, for the first time, broken the 30% barrier; The trend is 28/29/30/32/33


And, but this time in blue, the trend line is undeniable-actually quite magnificent.





#comments { display: none!important; }