Thursday, August 20, 2015

Outstanding Polling Day For Trump;Leads in 10 States And Vs Hillary

A number of polls today of continue to conform the ascendancy and leading position of Donald Trump.
These include polls showing him leading Hillary Clinton in head to head polling which is a further blow to the 'Trump doesn't have 'electability" meme.

Trump is now at his highest point ever in the "poll of polls" aggregate which is the most reliable of polling analysis at the "Huffington Post Pollster" tracking
poll  at 24.8% a 13.6 point lead over Trump LINK


Breitbart: LINK

HOUSTON WE HAVE A PROBLEM: TRUMP TOPS CRUZ IN TEXAS POLL

24 to 16 over Cruz in his home state

In North Carolina the Democratic polling company PPP Polling find Trump with a ten point lead 24 to 14 over nearest rival Dr.Carson. LINK

In Florida, perhaps amazingly, Trump leads the field, including the two Floridians Bush and Rubio with a 4 point lead over Bush 21 to 17 Quinnipiac Poll  LINK

Trump leads Hillary Clinton 43 to 41 in Florida
and in a new poll leads her in the solid "rust belt" Dem state of Michigan

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton


Polling Data

PollDateSampleClinton (D)Trump (R)Spread
RCP Average6/25 - 8/10--44.039.5Clinton +4.5
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell8/10 - 8/101310 LV3940Trump +1
PPP (D)6/25 - 6/281072 RV4939Clinton +10







In Pennsylvania, another one of the "rust belt" that Trump indicated he would win Trump has a massive 14 point lead over Rubio 24 to 10

In another 'rust belt state" Ohio Trump is in second place behind "favorite son' Kasich and doing remarkably well considering the home ground advantage for the popular Governor Kasich 27 Trump 21

In the state polls, which in the end are more important than the headline GOP nationwide polls (which Trump leads), Trump now leads in the following;

Iowa, N.Hampshire, Nevada,South Carolina, Florida, Pennsylvania, Texas
Missouri, Georgia, North Carolina

This new CNN poll LINK was perhaps the most significant Trump news as it exploded, as I Tweeted yesterday, and was voiced in the media the "electability" argument for Jeb and against Trump. When Trump overtakes Hillary, which I expect soon the "electability" argument will be stood on its head for the other 16 candidates.
Extract:

"Donald Trump Gains on Hillary Clinton in 2016 Poll"

He trails Clinton by just six points

Donald Trump is starting to close the gap in a potential general election matchup with Hillary Clinton, according to a new poll.

The CNN/ORC survey released Wednesday found Trump, who is leading national and early-state polls in the Republican presidential primary race, trailing Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner, by just six percentage points. Clinton was ahead of Trump in a hypothetical general election by 16 points in July.
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